Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology.
In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), Jg. 173 (2010-10-01), Heft 4, S. 755-774
Online
academicJournal
Zugriff:
Several studies have proposed methods for deriving summary scores for describing the in-migrant attractivity of areas, as well as out-migrant push (or conversely migrant retentivity). Simple in-migration and out-migrant rates (migrant totals divided by populations) do not correct for spatial separation or the migration context of a particular area, namely the size and proximity of nearby urban areas with populations at risk of migrating to an area, or offering potential destinations for out-migrants from an area. An extended random-effects gravity model is proposed to represent the influences of attractivity and retentivity after controlling for urban structure. Whereas the existing literature is focused on fixed effects modelling (and classical estimation), the focus in this paper is on a Bayesian hierarchical random-effects approach that links estimates of pull-and-push scores across areas (i.e. allows scores to be spatially correlated) and also allows correlation between attractivity and retentivity within areas. As demonstrated by a case-study of English local authorities, a random-effects model may have a lower effective model dimension than a fixed effects model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society) is the property of Oxford University Press / USA and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
Titel: |
Random-effects models for migration attractivity and retentivity: a Bayesian methodology.
|
---|---|
Autor/in / Beteiligte Person: | Congdon, Peter |
Link: | |
Zeitschrift: | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), Jg. 173 (2010-10-01), Heft 4, S. 755-774 |
Veröffentlichung: | 2010 |
Medientyp: | academicJournal |
ISSN: | 0964-1998 (print) |
DOI: | 10.1111/j.1467-985X.2009.00625.x |
Schlagwort: |
|
Sonstiges: |
|